Montana is normally a solid RED state that Trump won in 2016, 2020 and 2024. The Senate race in 2026, however, is considered PURPLE, although this race is complicated (see below). House District MT-1 is also PURPLE in this election, with a somewhat slim though not negligible chance of a Democratic win.
Senate Race
This is a three-way race at the moment, with Democrat Alani Bankhead and Independent Seth Bodnar both competing against Republican Kurt Alme for the Senate seat in Montana. Bodnar had an early lead in this race, and if Bankhead were to drop out (as in Nebraska), Bodnar would have a clear chance of winning this race. However, Bankhead is now ahead of Bodnar in the polls and shows no sign of leaving. If Bodnar were to drop out, Bankhead would have a clear chance of winning. If neither of them drop out, this is an easy win for the Republicans.
Recent Polling for 2026 Senate race (if available):
| Status | date | Democrat | Republican | other/don't know | %gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PURPLE | 28-Jul | 22% | 41% | 27% | R+14% |
Results of recent Senate races:
| year | Republican votes | Democrat/Independent votes | Margin | %margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 319,682 | 276,305 | 43,377 | 7.3% |
| 2020 | 333,174 | 272,463 | 60,711 | 10.0% |
In Purple races, vote swappers are urged to vote Democrat except in exceptional circumstances (such as in Nebraska). If you are uncomfortable voting for Alani Bankhead, please consider swapping your vote with someone in a safe blue or red state where their vote for an independent or third party candidate has a better chance of affecting the outcome.
Find out more about vote swapping here:
And you are ready to swap your vote NOW, go here:
STRATEGIC VOTING RECOMMENDATION:
Vote Democrat to end MAGA control of the Senate and swap your vote with someone in a red or blue state if you want them to vote for a third party of your choice or deliver a “protest” vote on your behalf.
For information on House races and our strategic voting recommendations, click on your US Congressional District below:
And if you don’t know your Congressional District, enter your zipcode and press return:
| zipcode | State | State color | Congressional District | District color |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35461 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 35576 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 35616 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 36033 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 36401 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 36420 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 36425 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 36426 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 36432 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
| 36439 | AL | Red | Alabama 01 | Red |
NOTE: If you live in a zipcode area that spans more than one congressional district, you my have to go here to find your correct district and come back.
Presidential Election – 2028
Latest Opinion Polling Results in Montana:
| state | STATUS | Trump | Harris | other/DK | % gap | date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | RED | 57.5% | 39.5% | 3% | 18% | Oct-27 |
Voting Results in the 2024 Election:
| Trump votes | Harris votes | won by | %gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 352,079 | 231,906 | 120,173 | 19.93% |
Voting Results in 2020 Election:
| Trump | Biden | Won by | % gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 343,602 | 244,786 | 98,816 | 16.4% |
Voting Results in 2016 Election:
| Trump | Clinton | Won by: | % gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 279,240 | 177,709 | 101,531 | 22.2% |
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/voting-and-registration/p20-580.html
Not registered to vote? You’re in luck! This is one of the states that allows you to register AND vote on Election Day at your nearest town or city clerk’s office. Bring ID and wear a mask, and don’t forget to VOTE!
AND, you can help win this state for all of us by encouraging a friend, relative, colleague, former neighbor, or somebody else you know to vote, and to vote for our survival, at this election.
Click here for more ideas and help in convincing a friend or relative to vote.