Montana is a solid RED state that Trump won in 2016, 2020 and 2024. The Senate race in 2026, however, is PURPLE, with a good chance that the Independent candidate to take this seat from the incumbent Republican. House District MT-1 is also PURPLE in this election, with a somewhat slim though not negligible chance of a Democratic win.
2026 Primary Election takes place on:
| primary | runoff |
|---|---|
| Tuesday, June 02, 2026 |
For information about voter registration, the candidates, mail-in ballots and early voting, go to vote.org.
STRATEGIC VOTING RECOMMENDATION:
Vote for a progressive candidate in the Democratic Primary who will challenge not only the MAGA Republican madness but also the Democratic Party establishment!
Senate Race
This is a Purple Senate race! The incumbent Republican is at risk of losing to a non-partisan Independent in this race.
Results of recent Senate races:
| year | Winner | Party | Winner votes | Runner-up | Runner-up votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tim Sheehy | R | 319682 | Jon Tester | 276305 | 43377 |
| 2020 | Steve Daines | R | 333174 | Steve Bullock | 272463 | 60711 |
In Purple races, every vote for the most promising challenger matters! If you are uncomfortable voting for the Independent candidate or plan to vote for another party, please consider swapping your vote with someone in a safe state where their vote for a Democrat will not change the outcome.
STRATEGIC VOTING RECOMMENDATION:
Vote Democrat to end MAGA control of the Senate and swap your vote with someone in a red or blue state if you want them to vote for a third party of your choice or deliver a “protest” vote on your behalf.
House Races
For information on House races and our strategic voting recommendations, click on your US Congressional District below:
Presidential Election – 2028
Latest Opinion Polling Results in Montana:
| state | STATUS | Trump | Harris | other/DK | % gap | date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | RED | 57.5% | 39.5% | 3% | 18% | Oct-27 |
Voting Results in 2020 Election:
| Trump | Biden | Won by | % gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 343,602 | 244,786 | 98,816 | 16.4% |
Voting Results in 2016 Election:
| Trump | Clinton | Won by: | % gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 279,240 | 177,709 | 101,531 | 22.2% |
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/voting-and-registration/p20-580.html
Not registered to vote? You’re in luck! This is one of the states that allows you to register AND vote on Election Day at your nearest town or city clerk’s office. Bring ID and wear a mask, and don’t forget to VOTE!
AND, you can help win this state for all of us by encouraging a friend, relative, colleague, former neighbor, or somebody else you know to vote, and to vote for our survival, at this election.
Click here for more ideas and help in convincing a friend or relative to vote.